Taming the Future: A Revolution Breakthrough in Scientific Forecasting - Softcover

Modern Civilization has no well-developed and usually reliable forecasting capability. This book explains a new system. Erroneous forecasts are not just the unfortunate consequences of bad luck, they result from deep-seated errors in the standard approach to modelliing complex systems. Systems forecasting and planning models based on a realistic paradigm of the world account---in great detail and with high precision---for all variation in the system over the past. Such models should have high predictive value for the future. A new realistic paradigm described in this book...